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Red294
34689.6
179376.0
108087.6
Blue195
580493.0
633483.1
97780.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271271200220240260280294195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#17
89.60.7
91.091.7
Auto8.5
Teleop43.4
End37.7
blue by 3.4
5804
#15
93.01.4
93.291.9
Auto6.2
Teleop31.3
End55.5
Second
1080
#13
87.60.7
89.089.7
Auto10.4
Teleop42.0
End35.1
red by 4.5
83.11.4
83.381.9
Auto10.2
Teleop43.0
End29.9
Third
76.00.7
77.478.1
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End37.8
blue by 4.4
977
#12
80.31.4
80.679.2
Auto9.5
Teleop35.2
End35.7