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Red180
527972.6
384113.0
602156.0
Blue306
428697.7
554691.9
580493.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202223100150250300350180306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#11
113.01.0
101.9101.0
Auto10.9
Teleop58.0
End44.1
red by 15.3
4286
#10
97.76.5
67.774.2
Auto6.9
Teleop41.9
End49.0
Second
5279
#26
72.61.2
61.860.6
Auto10.3
Teleop35.8
End26.4
blue by 20.5
5804
#15
93.06.5
78.384.8
Auto6.2
Teleop31.3
End55.5
Third
6021
#31
56.01.0
30.729.8
Auto6.9
Teleop26.1
End22.9
blue by 35.9
5546
#18
91.96.5
62.869.3
Auto10.4
Teleop38.1
End43.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed