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Red190
595093.6
633483.1
554691.9
Blue245
602156.0
126299.6
108682.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263227100200300400500190245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5950
#16
93.63.7
81.577.8
Auto6.5
Teleop39.8
End47.2
blue by 6.0
99.61.6
96.297.8
Auto11.7
Teleop42.5
End45.3
Second
5546
#18
91.93.7
80.176.4
Auto10.4
Teleop38.1
End43.4
red by 9.0
1086
#22
82.91.6
83.084.6
Auto7.3
Teleop35.0
End40.5
Third
83.13.7
83.780.0
Auto10.2
Teleop43.0
End29.9
red by 27.1
6021
#31
56.01.6
41.142.8
Auto6.9
Teleop26.1
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed