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Red255
623659.5
126299.6
1598100.7
Blue240
202860.8
327478.1
313671.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872000100400500600255240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.70.4
101.2100.8
Auto9.9
Teleop35.9
End54.9
red by 22.6
78.12.2
76.078.2
Auto6.9
Teleop36.8
End34.4
Second
99.60.4
100.199.6
Auto11.7
Teleop42.5
End45.3
red by 28.0
3136
#27
71.62.2
67.569.7
Auto7.2
Teleop29.8
End34.6
Third
6236
#21DQ
59.50.4
59.959.5
Auto8.2
Teleop31.4
End19.8
blue by 1.3
2028
#20
60.82.2
58.660.8
Auto8.5
Teleop28.1
End24.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed