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Red305
242157.3
62389.6
236386.2
Blue305
384101.5
173196.8
447267.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2412830100200400500600305305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#4
89.6
Auto7.7
Teleop37.6
End44.3
blue by 11.9
384
#6
101.5
Auto12.2
Teleop47.6
End41.7
Second
86.2
Auto12.3
Teleop37.6
End36.4
blue by 10.6
96.8
Auto13.8
Teleop36.1
End46.9
Third
2421
#36
57.3
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End23.8
blue by 10.1
4472
#17
67.4
Auto6.6
Teleop30.3
End30.5