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Red255
447267.4
173196.8
384101.5
Blue200
161061.5
237765.2
113758.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2821800100400500255200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#6
101.50.0
97.897.8
Auto12.2
Teleop47.6
End41.7
red by 36.4
65.20.2
64.965.2
Auto4.5
Teleop39.8
End20.8
Second
96.80.0
92.692.6
Auto13.8
Teleop36.1
End46.9
red by 35.3
1610
#15
61.50.3
61.261.5
Auto7.8
Teleop25.4
End28.3
Third
4472
#17
67.40.0
63.263.2
Auto6.6
Teleop30.3
End30.5
red by 8.7
1137
#23
58.70.3
58.458.7
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End25.9