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Red250
108069.8
327463.9
384101.5
Blue238
242157.3
34680.0
237765.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159186050100250300350400250238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#6
101.510.6
55.365.9
Auto12.2
Teleop47.6
End41.7
red by 21.5
346
#10
80.07.2
69.476.6
Auto4.0
Teleop44.8
End31.1
Second
1080
#11
69.810.6
51.461.9
Auto6.4
Teleop34.9
End28.5
red by 4.6
65.27.2
57.664.9
Auto4.5
Teleop39.8
End20.8
Third
3274
#12
63.910.6
48.158.7
Auto7.7
Teleop33.6
End22.6
red by 6.5
2421
#36
57.37.2
45.953.1
Auto6.5
Teleop27.0
End23.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed