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Red140
161061.5
112337.3
584155.4
Blue135
206829.7
558773.6
384101.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101680200300400140135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#15
61.53.0
40.043.1
Auto7.8
Teleop25.4
End28.3
blue by 40.0
384
#6
101.51.8
65.964.0
Auto12.2
Teleop47.6
End41.7
Second
5841
#24
55.43.0
36.839.9
Auto9.6
Teleop30.8
End14.9
blue by 18.2
73.61.8
50.148.2
Auto10.0
Teleop23.8
End39.8
Third
1123
#16
37.33.0
35.938.9
Auto3.4
Teleop29.8
End4.0
red by 7.6
2068
#38DQ
29.71.8
35.633.8
Auto1.4
Teleop21.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed