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Red194
34680.0
298846.7
291126.4
Blue145
68643.9
424252.3
584155.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371690100200300400194145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#10
80.03.3
68.171.3
Auto4.0
Teleop44.8
End31.1
red by 24.6
5841
#24
55.41.0
51.350.4
Auto9.6
Teleop30.8
End14.9
Second
2988
#28
46.73.3
34.938.2
Auto6.0
Teleop28.3
End12.4
blue by 5.6
4242
#20
52.31.0
57.856.8
Auto4.5
Teleop27.2
End20.6
Third
2911
#39DQ
26.43.0
31.934.9
Auto1.3
Teleop17.1
End8.0
blue by 17.4
686
#29
43.91.0
46.745.8
Auto6.6
Teleop34.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed