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Red170
113758.7
445666.4
173196.8
Blue166
584155.4
387224.9
11659.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180143050100200250300350170166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
96.82.3
70.568.2
Auto13.8
Teleop36.1
End46.9
red by 37.3
116
#19
59.52.8
54.952.1
Auto7.3
Teleop25.2
End27.1
Second
4456
#13
66.42.3
47.745.3
Auto7.0
Teleop32.4
End27.0
red by 11.0
5841
#24
55.42.8
42.840.0
Auto9.6
Teleop30.8
End14.9
Third
1137
#23
58.72.3
47.945.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.5
End25.9
red by 33.8
3872
#25
24.92.8
43.440.6
Auto2.2
Teleop18.5
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed