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Red215
998539.9
1262101.6
572464.4
Blue280
527988.2
265597.0
325879.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20529005001,0001,5002,0002,500215280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#10
101.60.0
101.6101.6
Auto10.4
Teleop44.7
End46.5
red by 4.6
97.00.0
97.097.0
Auto11.4
Teleop35.7
End49.9
Second
64.40.0
64.464.4
Auto8.4
Teleop34.4
End21.6
blue by 23.9
88.20.0
88.288.2
Auto11.1
Teleop38.7
End38.4
Third
9985
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
blue by 39.4
79.30.0
79.379.3
Auto6.6
Teleop34.9
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds1%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds