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Red165
202855.4
43593.8
40174.5
Blue175
580476.8
316845.3
313642.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251164100200300400165175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#2
93.81.4
94.693.2
Auto14.0
Teleop39.7
End40.1
red by 17.0
5804
#13
76.80.5
77.877.3
Auto4.7
Teleop32.3
End39.8
Second
401
#5
74.51.4
75.374.0
Auto12.6
Teleop30.3
End31.6
red by 29.3
3168
#11
45.30.5
46.245.7
Auto8.1
Teleop31.1
End6.1
Third
2028
#25
55.41.5
56.254.7
Auto6.7
Teleop28.7
End20.0
red by 12.9
3136
#21
42.50.5
43.442.9
Auto7.7
Teleop24.2
End10.6