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Red206
595448.6
113777.2
62089.5
Blue215
554661.6
152258.0
619448.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2191610100300400500206215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#9
89.50.1
84.284.4
Auto11.2
Teleop41.4
End36.8
red by 27.8
5546
#18
61.60.5
59.359.8
Auto6.5
Teleop30.2
End24.9
Second
77.20.1
72.072.1
Auto4.5
Teleop34.4
End38.3
red by 19.2
1522
#10
58.00.5
55.756.2
Auto7.1
Teleop37.2
End13.7
Third
5954
#20
48.60.1
43.443.5
Auto6.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
red by 0.5
6194
#17
48.10.5
45.846.3
Auto8.0
Teleop35.0
End5.2