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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175128050100150200250300350255215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#2
93.86.3
81.187.5
Auto14.0
Teleop39.7
End40.1
red by 16.6
77.24.1
59.964.0
Auto4.5
Teleop34.4
End38.3
Second
617
#14
55.710.6
50.561.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.6
End23.7
blue by 8.8
4286
#19
64.56.9
42.349.2
Auto7.1
Teleop34.9
End22.5
Third
5954
#20
48.66.3
28.434.7
Auto6.7
Teleop34.4
End7.4
red by 22.0
6021
#27
26.66.9
25.732.6
Auto2.1
Teleop19.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed