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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159154050100200250300350400115135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#5
74.54.0
78.874.7
Auto12.6
Teleop30.3
End31.6
red by 5.9
1908
#15
68.71.2
53.452.2
Auto7.8
Teleop30.8
End30.1
Second
6213
#23
33.06.3
42.836.6
Auto8.1
Teleop22.0
End2.9
blue by 26.1
3072
#22
59.10.8
51.050.2
Auto5.7
Teleop32.2
End21.2
Third
6021
#27
26.66.3
28.822.6
Auto2.1
Teleop19.3
End5.1
blue by 31.5
1522
#10
58.01.2
42.441.2
Auto7.1
Teleop37.2
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed