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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217131050100150250300350400255195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#2
93.84.0
87.791.7
Auto14.0
Teleop39.7
End40.1
red by 25.1
1908
#15
68.74.8
63.768.5
Auto7.8
Teleop30.8
End30.1
Second
77.24.0
69.073.0
Auto4.5
Teleop34.4
End38.3
red by 34.8
3136
#21
42.54.8
34.439.2
Auto7.7
Teleop24.2
End10.6
Third
3168
#11
45.34.9
37.842.7
Auto8.1
Teleop31.1
End6.1
red by 3.0
5830
#28
42.35.3
37.743.0
Auto5.5
Teleop24.9
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed