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Red331
179357.1
161092.6
2363109.8
Blue167
325873.3
335981.3
307259.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632280100300400500600700800331167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.81.4
105.0106.3
Auto10.6
Teleop45.9
End53.3
red by 28.5
81.31.2
83.682.5
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End43.5
Second
92.61.4
87.789.1
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End41.8
red by 19.2
73.31.2
75.774.5
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End31.4
Third
1793
#24
57.11.5
51.753.2
Auto7.1
Teleop22.7
End27.3
blue by 2.0
3072
#22
59.11.2
61.460.2
Auto5.7
Teleop32.2
End21.2