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Red305
179357.1
161092.6
2363109.8
Blue166
325873.3
335981.3
307259.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692220100300400500600305166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.81.3
106.3107.6
Auto10.6
Teleop45.9
End53.3
red by 28.5
81.31.1
82.581.3
Auto10.5
Teleop27.3
End43.5
Second
92.61.3
89.190.3
Auto12.5
Teleop38.3
End41.8
red by 19.2
73.31.1
74.573.3
Auto8.0
Teleop34.0
End31.4
Third
1793
#24
57.11.4
53.254.6
Auto7.1
Teleop22.7
End27.3
blue by 2.0
3072
#22
59.11.1
60.259.1
Auto5.7
Teleop32.2
End21.2