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Red158
34697.8
335997.3
580493.0
Blue160
138990.1
159989.0
2363112.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3033070100200400500600700800158160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#12
97.80.0
97.897.8
Auto9.6
Teleop52.0
End36.1
blue by 14.2
2363
#18
112.00.0
112.0112.0
Auto12.0
Teleop50.1
End49.9
Second
97.30.0
97.397.3
Auto11.9
Teleop45.5
End39.9
red by 7.2
90.10.0
90.190.1
Auto5.2
Teleop39.7
End45.2
Third
93.00.0
93.093.0
Auto6.2
Teleop31.3
End55.5
red by 4.0
1599
#23
89.00.0
89.089.0
Auto8.6
Teleop39.9
End40.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor odds9%Rotor odds
Pressure
2%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds