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Red310
357445.6
948106.8
492103.9
Blue198
36090.9
406084.8
292966.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280255100200400500310198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#1
106.81.1
108.4109.5
Auto14.8
Teleop49.2
End42.8
red by 15.9
360
#12
90.91.0
91.790.6
Auto12.8
Teleop49.1
End29.0
Second
492
#6
103.91.1
105.5106.6
Auto12.3
Teleop52.2
End39.4
red by 19.1
4060
#11
84.81.0
85.584.5
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End41.9
Third
3574
#29
45.61.1
47.248.3
Auto7.6
Teleop28.6
End9.4
blue by 21.3
2929
#16
66.91.0
67.666.6
Auto4.6
Teleop35.8
End26.5