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Red280
357445.6
948106.8
492103.9
Blue255
36090.9
406084.8
292966.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285250100200400500280255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#1
106.80.2
109.5109.3
Auto14.8
Teleop49.2
End42.8
red by 15.9
360
#12
90.90.3
90.690.9
Auto12.8
Teleop49.1
End29.0
Second
492
#6
103.90.2
106.6106.4
Auto12.3
Teleop52.2
End39.4
red by 19.1
4060
#11
84.80.3
84.584.8
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End41.9
Third
3574
#29
45.60.2
48.348.1
Auto7.6
Teleop28.6
End9.4
blue by 21.3
2929
#16
66.90.3
66.666.9
Auto4.6
Teleop35.8
End26.5