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Red230
382695.6
368462.2
3663116.7
Blue206
298079.3
36090.9
593794.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249250210220230240260270280230206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.70.8
116.3115.5
Auto12.1
Teleop51.8
End52.7
red by 21.8
5937
#18
94.82.1
73.371.2
Auto10.9
Teleop43.9
End40.1
Second
3826
#17
95.60.8
86.585.6
Auto11.4
Teleop48.9
End35.4
red by 4.7
360
#12
90.92.1
82.280.1
Auto12.8
Teleop49.1
End29.0
Third
3684
#22
62.20.9
34.433.5
Auto5.0
Teleop37.1
End20.1
blue by 17.1
2980
#30
79.32.1
82.380.2
Auto12.7
Teleop41.7
End24.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsEarned0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed