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Red260
339372.8
413179.7
948106.8
Blue205
417361.7
529591.9
290671.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2382020100300400500260205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#1
106.82.3
97.299.4
Auto14.8
Teleop49.2
End42.8
red by 14.9
91.90.6
85.986.5
Auto7.5
Teleop46.8
End37.5
Second
79.72.3
60.162.4
Auto10.4
Teleop35.7
End33.6
red by 7.8
2906
#26
71.90.6
52.553.1
Auto7.0
Teleop29.1
End35.8
Third
3393
#13
72.82.3
63.866.0
Auto6.9
Teleop34.5
End31.3
red by 11.1
4173
#23
61.70.6
58.058.5
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End28.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed