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Red190
413179.7
125862.5
420562.6
Blue305
417361.7
241290.9
593794.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1912410100300400500190305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.71.5
62.460.9
Auto10.4
Teleop35.7
End33.6
blue by 15.2
5937
#18
94.85.5
82.588.0
Auto10.9
Teleop43.9
End40.1
Second
4205
#33
62.61.5
64.663.0
Auto3.2
Teleop34.1
End25.3
blue by 28.3
2412
#14
90.95.5
81.587.0
Auto5.8
Teleop47.1
End38.0
Third
1258
#35
62.51.5
61.159.5
Auto10.3
Teleop26.3
End25.9
red by 0.8
4173
#23
61.75.5
58.564.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.1
End28.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed