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Red239
292966.9
382695.6
321985.4
Blue278
413179.7
48891.8
387650.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2451860100300400500239278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#17
95.60.9
90.491.3
Auto11.4
Teleop48.9
End35.4
red by 3.9
488
#8
91.86.2
79.585.8
Auto13.0
Teleop40.9
End37.9
Second
3219
#15
85.40.9
77.378.2
Auto6.6
Teleop36.5
End42.4
red by 5.7
79.76.2
62.969.2
Auto10.4
Teleop35.7
End33.6
Third
2929
#16
66.90.9
57.758.6
Auto4.6
Teleop35.8
End26.5
red by 16.4
3876
#31
50.56.2
42.048.2
Auto8.7
Teleop35.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed