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Red185
446150.9
2907109.2
304948.4
Blue312
593794.8
3663116.7
4918103.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2003310100300400500600185312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2907
#20
109.21.5
109.5108.0
Auto14.1
Teleop38.4
End56.7
blue by 7.5
116.71.0
121.4122.4
Auto12.1
Teleop51.8
End52.7
Second
4461
#25
50.91.5
52.150.6
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End16.8
blue by 52.4
103.31.0
89.790.7
Auto13.2
Teleop42.3
End47.8
Third
3049
#34
48.41.5
46.044.5
Auto5.2
Teleop38.2
End5.1
blue by 46.4
5937
#18
94.81.0
85.786.7
Auto10.9
Teleop43.9
End40.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed