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Red210
322362.1
491592.8
580391.0
Blue270
125865.4
358875.9
131887.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2572330100200300400210270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
92.80.7
91.190.4
Auto10.7
Teleop39.6
End42.5
red by 5.5
1318
#13
87.30.9
85.886.7
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End50.5
Second
91.00.8
89.088.1
Auto7.2
Teleop52.4
End31.4
red by 15.1
3588
#12
75.90.9
74.475.3
Auto11.6
Teleop32.4
End31.9
Third
3223
#28
62.10.7
60.459.7
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End34.7
blue by 3.3
1258
#27
65.40.9
63.964.8
Auto9.4
Teleop27.6
End28.4