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Red145
413136.6
635069.4
582765.0
Blue285
255771.9
408955.5
189956.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19318350100150250300350145285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.41.1
73.572.5
Auto3.7
Teleop21.4
End44.3
blue by 2.5
2557
#14
71.90.8
69.069.7
Auto7.9
Teleop39.0
End25.0
Second
65.00.8
68.267.3
Auto7.7
Teleop29.3
End28.1
red by 8.3
1899
#17
56.70.9
53.554.4
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End25.4
Third
4131
#40
36.60.8
39.738.9
Auto5.6
Teleop24.0
End7.0
blue by 18.9
4089
#10
55.50.8
52.653.4
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End22.1