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Red235
129470.9
445066.2
446985.2
Blue195
322362.1
321857.3
549571.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2081260100300400235195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4469
#11
85.25.4
83.689.0
Auto11.5
Teleop39.6
End34.0
red by 14.0
5495
#25
71.16.6
44.851.4
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End29.1
Second
70.95.4
52.057.4
Auto9.5
Teleop34.1
End27.3
red by 8.8
3223
#28
62.16.6
46.553.0
Auto6.4
Teleop21.0
End34.7
Third
4450
#15
66.25.4
50.856.2
Auto9.5
Teleop27.9
End28.8
red by 9.0
3218
#26
57.36.6
39.646.2
Auto6.0
Teleop24.7
End26.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed