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Red50
56828.7
413136.6
339346.4
Blue121
457927.5
129470.9
255771.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1621565010020025030050121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3393
#20
46.411.5
57.746.2
Auto7.5
Teleop21.6
End17.3
blue by 25.4
2557
#14
71.95.9
63.657.7
Auto7.9
Teleop39.0
End25.0
Second
4131
#40
36.611.5
55.544.0
Auto5.6
Teleop24.0
End7.0
blue by 34.3
70.95.9
57.451.4
Auto9.5
Teleop34.1
End27.3
Third
568
#39
28.711.5
40.228.7
Auto8.1
Teleop22.6
End-2.0
red by 1.2
4579
#34
27.55.9
28.522.5
Auto6.0
Teleop23.4
End-1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed