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Red256
408955.5
378655.3
36085.1
Blue195
549571.1
189956.7
131887.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156199050100250300350400256195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#8
85.110.6
72.482.9
Auto9.9
Teleop41.0
End34.2
blue by 2.2
1318
#13
87.31.3
83.885.1
Auto6.6
Teleop30.2
End50.5
Second
4089
#10
55.511.3
55.166.5
Auto9.3
Teleop24.2
End22.1
blue by 15.6
5495
#25
71.11.2
48.850.0
Auto8.9
Teleop33.1
End29.1
Third
3786
#30
55.310.6
26.537.1
Auto9.3
Teleop22.9
End23.1
blue by 1.4
1899
#17
56.71.3
50.652.0
Auto0.6
Teleop30.7
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed