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Red165
129470.9
36085.1
413136.6
Blue150
446985.2
582765.0
593772.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190163050100250300350400165150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#8
85.11.3
71.269.8
Auto9.9
Teleop41.0
End34.2
blue by 0.1
4469
#11
85.21.5
66.164.6
Auto11.5
Teleop39.6
End34.0
Second
70.91.3
49.948.6
Auto9.5
Teleop34.1
End27.3
blue by 1.4
5937
#21
72.31.5
47.445.9
Auto10.9
Teleop38.3
End23.1
Third
4131
#40
36.61.3
56.054.6
Auto5.6
Teleop24.0
End7.0
blue by 28.5
65.01.5
44.943.4
Auto7.7
Teleop29.3
End28.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed