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Red305
214972.4
5450101.8
214799.0
Blue291
198387.6
369372.5
592092.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions269240100200300400500305291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.81.7
80.882.5
Auto9.0
Teleop44.7
End48.1
red by 9.2
5920
#30
92.61.3
93.294.5
Auto13.0
Teleop32.6
End47.0
Second
99.01.2
96.797.9
Auto11.8
Teleop40.9
End46.2
red by 11.4
1983
#13
87.61.3
80.281.5
Auto6.9
Teleop39.3
End41.4
Third
2149
#14
72.41.2
73.474.6
Auto8.7
Teleop35.3
End28.4
blue by 0.1
3693
#11
72.51.3
57.959.2
Auto6.8
Teleop37.4
End28.4