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Red305
214874.8
412588.7
4061101.9
Blue210
451373.5
358890.4
498073.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672500100200300400500600305210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.91.2
100.4101.6
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End52.5
red by 11.5
90.41.2
86.084.8
Auto13.4
Teleop35.7
End41.3
Second
88.71.2
86.988.1
Auto9.2
Teleop40.2
End39.3
red by 15.2
4513
#27
73.51.2
81.380.1
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End24.0
Third
2148
#22
74.81.2
63.364.5
Auto6.1
Teleop36.0
End32.7
red by 1.9
4980
#31
73.01.2
71.870.6
Auto9.5
Teleop32.7
End30.7