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Red215
322069.0
4061101.9
511135.5
Blue145
451373.5
410449.2
198387.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2062360100300400500600215145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.91.0
101.6102.7
Auto12.7
Teleop36.7
End52.5
red by 14.3
1983
#13
87.65.0
83.478.4
Auto6.9
Teleop39.3
End41.4
Second
3220
#12
69.01.0
57.558.5
Auto13.6
Teleop29.6
End25.8
blue by 4.5
4513
#27
73.55.0
82.577.5
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End24.0
Third
5111
#36
35.51.0
40.541.5
Auto3.1
Teleop25.3
End7.2
blue by 13.7
4104
#20
49.25.0
54.049.0
Auto7.7
Teleop28.3
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed