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Red308
321961.1
1595113.4
2046102.1
Blue218
445090.2
371195.5
322362.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287259100150200350400450308218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
113.40.9
110.7111.6
Auto13.0
Teleop47.0
End53.4
red by 18.0
95.50.7
95.995.2
Auto9.6
Teleop40.5
End45.3
Second
102.10.9
99.4100.3
Auto14.9
Teleop50.0
End37.3
red by 12.0
4450
#10
90.20.7
90.689.9
Auto9.8
Teleop37.6
End42.7
Third
3219
#24
61.10.9
58.459.2
Auto5.3
Teleop32.5
End23.3
blue by 1.2
3223
#34
62.30.7
62.862.1
Auto6.7
Teleop29.4
End26.3