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Red455
446982.9
323891.0
198383.0
Blue115
291092.1
292877.4
204672.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292289150200250350400450455115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.02.3
85.587.9
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End38.7
blue by 1.1
2910
#10
92.13.2
95.392.1
Auto12.1
Teleop37.0
End42.9
Second
83.02.3
77.579.9
Auto15.2
Teleop44.9
End22.9
red by 5.6
77.43.2
81.978.7
Auto11.2
Teleop38.6
End27.6
Third
4469
#23
82.92.3
77.479.8
Auto5.5
Teleop36.7
End40.6
red by 10.5
2046
#26
72.43.2
76.973.7
Auto6.0
Teleop38.2
End28.2