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Red255
446982.9
323891.0
198383.0
Blue305
36077.8
321890.9
558881.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122510100200400500600700255305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.00.0
91.091.0
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End38.7
red by 0.1
90.91.3
89.690.9
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End50.5
Second
83.00.0
83.083.0
Auto15.2
Teleop44.9
End22.9
red by 2.0
5588
#20
81.01.3
79.781.0
Auto9.0
Teleop40.3
End31.6
Third
4469
#23
82.90.0
82.982.9
Auto5.5
Teleop36.7
End40.6
red by 5.1
360
#11
77.81.3
76.577.8
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End32.4