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Red310
446982.9
323891.0
198383.0
Blue153
407759.3
292877.4
204672.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062180100400500310153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.01.3
87.989.1
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End38.7
red by 13.6
77.41.3
78.777.4
Auto11.2
Teleop38.6
End27.6
Second
83.01.3
79.981.1
Auto15.2
Teleop44.9
End22.9
red by 10.6
2046
#26
72.41.3
73.772.4
Auto6.0
Teleop38.2
End28.2
Third
4469
#23
82.91.3
79.881.0
Auto5.5
Teleop36.7
End40.6
red by 23.6
59.31.3
60.659.3
Auto6.0
Teleop26.0
End27.3