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Red165
406063.2
491586.5
468155.7
Blue185
358859.1
323891.0
298055.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261251150200300165185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#15
86.55.5
108.5103.1
Auto10.7
Teleop41.5
End34.3
blue by 4.5
91.03.6
92.188.5
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End38.7
Second
4060
#18
63.25.5
71.165.7
Auto7.0
Teleop25.2
End31.0
red by 4.1
3588
#32
59.13.6
79.475.8
Auto9.8
Teleop23.4
End25.9
Third
4681
#12
55.75.5
67.161.7
Auto6.6
Teleop32.3
End16.8
red by 0.6
2980
#27
55.13.6
67.964.3
Auto5.8
Teleop31.3
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed13%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed