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Red150
189962.7
36077.8
255758.2
Blue165
129466.4
446982.9
321964.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241239160180200220260150165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#11
77.85.6
67.662.0
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End32.4
blue by 5.1
4469
#23
82.94.2
77.773.5
Auto5.5
Teleop36.7
End40.6
Second
1899
#25
62.75.6
89.283.6
Auto6.6
Teleop31.6
End24.5
blue by 3.7
1294
#13
66.44.2
68.764.5
Auto9.0
Teleop37.4
End20.0
Third
2557
#36
58.25.6
72.266.6
Auto5.7
Teleop29.9
End22.6
blue by 6.2
64.44.2
81.176.9
Auto7.3
Teleop29.2
End27.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed23%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed