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Red209
290361.7
291092.1
529573.3
Blue90
321964.4
445059.6
298055.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295216010040050020990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#10
92.14.8
107.1102.3
Auto12.1
Teleop37.0
End42.9
red by 27.6
64.48.3
76.968.6
Auto7.3
Teleop29.2
End27.8
Second
5295
#19
73.34.8
93.889.0
Auto7.9
Teleop34.8
End30.6
red by 13.7
4450
#28
59.68.3
75.266.8
Auto10.0
Teleop28.1
End21.6
Third
2903
#14
61.74.8
69.664.8
Auto7.0
Teleop35.9
End18.8
red by 6.6
2980
#27
55.18.3
62.954.6
Auto5.8
Teleop31.3
End18.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
62%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed