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Red185
582749.5
293064.3
491586.5
Blue200
413160.6
129466.4
36077.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2521820100300400500185200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#15
86.54.0
97.593.5
Auto10.7
Teleop41.5
End34.3
red by 8.7
360
#11
77.80.9
62.062.9
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End32.4
Second
2930
#30
64.34.0
72.968.8
Auto9.5
Teleop31.7
End23.1
blue by 2.1
1294
#13
66.40.9
64.565.4
Auto9.0
Teleop37.4
End20.0
Third
5827
#29
49.54.0
60.156.1
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End28.0
blue by 11.1
4131
#17
60.60.9
55.055.9
Auto2.1
Teleop24.7
End33.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed