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Red155
198383.0
241270.5
189962.7
Blue160
321890.9
468155.7
358859.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672120100300400500155160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.06.1
81.575.4
Auto15.2
Teleop44.9
End22.9
blue by 7.9
90.93.2
81.978.7
Auto9.4
Teleop31.0
End50.5
Second
2412
#24
70.56.1
81.875.7
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End23.5
red by 11.4
3588
#32
59.13.2
67.063.8
Auto9.8
Teleop23.4
End25.9
Third
1899
#25
62.76.1
83.677.5
Auto6.6
Teleop31.6
End24.5
red by 7.1
4681
#12
55.73.2
59.556.2
Auto6.6
Teleop32.3
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed