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Red145
204672.4
298055.1
198383.0
Blue240
36077.8
94893.9
241270.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288264100200400145240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.08.4
91.983.5
Auto15.2
Teleop44.9
End22.9
blue by 11.0
948
#2
93.91.6
89.187.5
Auto11.6
Teleop41.5
End40.8
Second
2046
#26
72.48.4
102.794.3
Auto6.0
Teleop38.2
End28.2
blue by 5.4
360
#11
77.81.6
74.272.6
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End32.4
Third
2980
#27
55.18.4
76.367.9
Auto5.8
Teleop31.3
End18.0
blue by 15.4
2412
#24
70.51.6
90.989.3
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
5%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
2%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed