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Red250
241270.5
49286.1
323891.0
Blue210
290361.7
445059.6
36077.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2771870100400500250210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.00.1
86.286.0
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End38.7
red by 13.2
360
#11
77.81.0
66.167.1
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End32.4
Second
492
#8
86.10.1
92.492.3
Auto8.1
Teleop40.3
End37.7
red by 24.5
2903
#14
61.71.0
64.865.8
Auto7.0
Teleop35.9
End18.8
Third
2412
#24
70.50.1
73.673.5
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End23.5
red by 10.9
4450
#28
59.61.0
58.659.6
Auto10.0
Teleop28.1
End21.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
67%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed