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Red268
36077.8
131878.0
321964.4
Blue165
406063.2
558881.0
241270.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2072340100300400268165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78.04.5
72.877.3
Auto10.1
Teleop35.4
End32.4
blue by 3.0
5588
#20
81.03.6
78.474.8
Auto9.0
Teleop40.3
End31.6
Second
360
#11
77.84.5
67.171.7
Auto9.5
Teleop36.0
End32.4
red by 7.3
2412
#24
70.53.6
73.569.9
Auto6.8
Teleop40.2
End23.5
Third
64.44.5
59.964.4
Auto7.3
Teleop29.2
End27.8
red by 1.2
4060
#18
63.23.6
66.863.2
Auto7.0
Teleop25.2
End31.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
6%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed