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Red180
323891.0
321964.4
468155.7
Blue19
322326.9
357446.6
582749.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28223910020040018019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.05.5
97.692.1
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End38.7
red by 41.5
5827
#29
49.514.2
87.273.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End28.0
Second
64.45.5
92.587.0
Auto7.3
Teleop29.2
End27.8
red by 17.8
3574
#16
46.614.2
64.450.2
Auto8.2
Teleop24.1
End14.3
Third
4681
#12
55.75.5
72.667.1
Auto6.6
Teleop32.3
End16.8
red by 28.8
3223
#35
26.914.2
81.066.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.0
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
19%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed