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Red259
417347.9
5803120.8
3238122.2
Blue172
366396.7
2907101.3
48852.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3182620100200400500259172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122.20.8
123.0122.2
Auto12.9
Teleop56.0
End53.4
red by 20.9
101.31.9
103.2101.3
Auto16.4
Teleop36.3
End48.7
Second
120.80.8
121.6120.8
Auto13.9
Teleop53.0
End53.9
red by 24.1
3663
#10
96.71.9
98.696.7
Auto11.4
Teleop44.6
End40.7
Third
4173
#17
47.90.8
48.747.9
Auto6.7
Teleop26.3
End14.9
blue by 4.3
488
#25
52.21.9
54.152.2
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End15.6