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Red226
298076.6
94881.9
491868.3
Blue311
291083.0
177893.5
290366.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23824904006008001,0001,2001,4001,600226311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#5
81.90.0
81.981.9
Auto10.5
Teleop45.3
End26.1
blue by 11.7
93.51.7
90.792.4
Auto13.3
Teleop40.9
End39.3
Second
2980
#18
76.60.0
76.676.6
Auto5.9
Teleop43.8
End26.9
blue by 6.4
2910
#13
83.01.7
80.281.9
Auto11.8
Teleop42.9
End28.3
Third
4918
#15
68.30.0
68.368.3
Auto4.6
Teleop36.6
End27.1
red by 1.7
2903
#19
66.61.7
63.865.5
Auto1.8
Teleop32.6
End32.3